Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.50
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barrow (Local): 38.29%; Walsall (Visit): 31.50%; Draw: 30.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.331%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.66%EV -5.41%E -2.19%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 10:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.94%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -6.44%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.26%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.33%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.12%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.33%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.12%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.47%EV -7.71%E -3.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.98%E -2.26%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -9.59%E -3.34%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -18.45%E -6.83%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.95%EV -8.48%E -3.55%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -8.86%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -0.331%E -0.100%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.86%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 09:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 09:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -10.39%E -4.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -6.75%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -10.39%E -4.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -6.75%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 09:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -10.39%E -4.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -6.75%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |