La escuela de los momios

Barrow v Walsall

Inicio: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Final: Barrow 1–3 Walsall

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barrow (Local)

Predicción 38.29%2.61momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -2.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.21%38.33%38.31%39.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.402.402.5043.48%41.70%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 31.50%3.17momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%31.59%31.49%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.953.0536.36%34.07%33.90%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.20%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.331%
Ventaja -0.100%
Kelly -0.144%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%30.08%30.19%32.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.063.053.3037.04%32.68%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.66%EV -5.41%E -2.19%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 11:00
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:58
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:00
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 11:00
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:58
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 10:59
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:59
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.94%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -6.44%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.26%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:59
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.33%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.12%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:00
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.33%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -6.12%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.47%EV -7.71%E -3.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.98%E -2.26%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 11:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 11:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -9.59%E -3.34%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -18.45%E -6.83%K -10.85%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 37.95%EV -8.48%E -3.55%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -8.86%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -0.331%E -0.100%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.86%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 10:59
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 09:30
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 09:29
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -10.39%E -4.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -6.75%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:00
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -10.39%E -4.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -6.75%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 09:30
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -10.39%E -4.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -6.75%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 09:30
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:59
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -10.77%E -4.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 10:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%1.4%2026-04-18 11:00
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-04-18 11:00