Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barrow v Oldham Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Barrow 3–2 Oldham Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barrow (Local)

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV +4.47%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%27.02%26.99%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.383.8531.25%29.53%29.63%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.05%43.59%43.51%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.42%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.36%3.41fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.40%29.50%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.54%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barrow (Local): 27.13%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 43.51%; Draw: 29.36%. For Barrow (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +4.47%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.070%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +4.47%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.070%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 12:50
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:19
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:01
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:05
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.36%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.62%EV -5.46%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.11%E -0.942%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:35
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.11%E -0.942%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:35
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.11%E -0.942%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:01
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:20
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 18:20
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -5.59%E -2.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:34
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.66%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.77%E -3.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 12:00
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 09:35
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:00
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 09:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:01
Everygame🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:18
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:19
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:29
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:45
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:45
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.17%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 21:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.17%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.17%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%1.3%2026-04-14 18:30