La escuela de los momios

Barrow v Oldham Athletic

Inicio: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Barrow 3–2 Oldham Athletic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barrow (Local)

Predicción 27.13%3.69momio equitativo
EV +4.47%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.070%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%27.02%26.99%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.383.8531.25%29.53%29.63%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 43.51%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.05%43.59%43.51%44.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.42%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.36%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -0.942%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.40%29.50%31.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.54%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +4.47%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.070%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 12:50
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +4.47%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.070%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 12:50
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:19
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:01
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:05
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.36%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.62%EV -5.46%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.11%E -0.942%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:35
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.11%E -0.942%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:35
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.11%E -0.942%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:01
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:20
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 18:20
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -5.59%E -2.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:34
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:34
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.66%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.77%E -3.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 12:00
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 09:35
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:18
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:00
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.81%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 09:34
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:01
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:18
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:19
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:29
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:45
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:45
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:45
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 21:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.81%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.17%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 21:44
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.17%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 21:44
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.17%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 21:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%1.3%2026-04-14 18:30