Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barrow v Bristol Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barrow (Local)

Prediction 34.05%2.94fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.02%34.04%35.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.692.702.9038.46%37.16%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bristol Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 36.58%2.73fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.52%36.60%36.59%38.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.30%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.37%3.40fair odd
EV -0.134%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.056%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%29.38%29.37%31.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.203.4034.72%31.62%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barrow (Local): 34.05%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 36.58%; Draw: 29.37%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.405. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.400, with an expected value of -0.134%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -9.53%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -9.53%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -9.53%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.62%EV -3.30%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.93%EV -6.30%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:25
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:40
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.34%E -1.92%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -5.63%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:15
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.34%E -1.92%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -5.63%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:20
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -5.68%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.83%E -3.11%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -5.42%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.44%EV -5.68%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.19%EV -6.36%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.134%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 04:09
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:20
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:15
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:15
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.46%EV -8.92%E -3.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -15.41%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16%0.9%2026-03-10 19:35