La escuela de los momios

Barrow v Bristol Rovers

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barrow (Local)

Predicción 34.05%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.432%
Kelly -0.659%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.94%34.02%34.04%35.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.692.702.9038.46%37.16%37.04%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 36.58%2.73momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.52%36.60%36.59%38.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.30%39.22%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.37%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.134%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.056%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%29.38%29.37%31.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.163.203.4034.72%31.62%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -9.53%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -9.53%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -9.53%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.62%EV -3.30%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.93%EV -6.30%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:25
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:40
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.34%E -1.92%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -5.63%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:15
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.34%E -1.92%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -5.63%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:20
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -5.68%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.83%E -3.11%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -5.42%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.44%EV -5.68%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.19%EV -6.36%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.134%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 04:09
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:20
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:40
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 04:09
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:15
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:15
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.46%EV -8.92%E -3.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.56%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:39
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:40
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -15.41%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16%0.9%2026-03-10 19:35