Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet v Cheltenham Town

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 11:30 UTC

Final: Barnet 2–2 Cheltenham Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet (Local)

Prediction 60.66%1.65fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.71%60.58%60.68%62.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.551.5969.93%64.95%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cheltenham Town (Visit)

Prediction 16.03%6.24fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.359%
Kelly +0.425%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 6.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.68%16.18%15.99%18.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.505.506.3820.41%18.19%18.18%15.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.31%4.29fair odd
EV +0.937%
Edge +0.216%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%23.24%23.33%24.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.943.884.3327.03%25.38%25.81%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnet (Local): 60.66%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 16.03%; Draw: 23.31%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.26%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.88%EV +2.29%E +0.359%K +0.425%G +0.010%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.86%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 11:21
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV +0.204%E +0.033%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV +0.937%E +0.216%K +0.281%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-29 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV +0.237%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:44
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV -5.41%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV -5.41%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -5.41%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -10.49%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:25
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -7.01%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:25
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.13%EV -7.17%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.23%EV -6.29%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:20
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:18
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -0.928%E -0.218%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -9.62%E -6.46%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -13.26%E -9.27%K -30.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -8.61%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -8.61%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:25
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -10.22%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -10.22%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.42%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.62%E -6.46%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.42%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -16.63%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -16.63%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:24
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -21.44%E -4.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -21.44%E -4.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -13.75%E -3.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -21.44%E -4.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -13.75%E -3.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25