Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnet v Cheltenham Town

Início: 2026-08-29 11:30 UTC

Final: Barnet 2–2 Cheltenham Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnet (Local)

Previsão 60.66%1.65odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -2.24%
Kelly -6.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.71%60.58%60.68%62.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.541.551.5969.93%64.95%64.52%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Previsão 16.03%6.24odd justa
EV +2.29%
Vantagem +0.359%
Kelly +0.425%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.68%16.18%15.99%18.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.905.505.506.3820.41%18.19%18.18%15.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.31%4.29odd justa
EV +0.937%
Vantagem +0.216%
Kelly +0.281%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.42%23.24%23.33%24.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.943.884.3327.03%25.38%25.81%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barnet (Local): 60.66%; Cheltenham Town (Visitante): 16.03%; Empate: 23.31%. Para Cheltenham Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.24. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.26%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.88%EV +2.29%E +0.359%K +0.425%G +0.010%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.86%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 11:21
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV +0.204%E +0.033%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV +0.937%E +0.216%K +0.281%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-29 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV +0.237%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.80%E -0.634%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:44
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV -5.41%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV -5.41%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -5.41%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -10.49%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:25
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -7.01%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:25
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.13%EV -7.17%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.23%EV -6.29%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:20
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:18
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -0.928%E -0.218%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -9.62%E -6.46%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -13.26%E -9.27%K -30.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -8.61%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -8.61%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:25
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -10.22%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -10.22%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.82%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.42%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.42%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.62%E -6.46%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.42%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.09%E -0.499%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.80%E -5.13%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -15.83%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -16.63%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -16.63%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:24
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.84%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -5.98%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -21.44%E -4.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.58%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -21.44%E -4.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -13.75%E -3.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -21.44%E -4.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -13.75%E -3.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25