Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 6.50
assuming max odds 4.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnet (Local): 61.36%; Barrow (Visit): 15.77%; Draw: 22.86%. For Barrow (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +2.54%E +0.390%K +0.461%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.67%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.88%EV -0.935%E -0.149%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.46%EV -12.66%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.41%E -0.225%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.41%E -0.225%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -2.20%E -0.354%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 08:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.83%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.83%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -11.64%E -8.08%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.98%E -5.71%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.08%EV -6.77%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.21%EV -2.14%E -0.500%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 08:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -17.18%E -3.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -13.12%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -13.12%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -13.12%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.56% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |