L’École des cotes

Barnet v Barrow

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Barnet 3–2 Barrow

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barnet (Local)

Prévision 61.36%1.63cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -6.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.62%61.24%61.32%62.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.63%65.79%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barrow (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.77%6.34cote équitable
EV +2.54%
Avantage +0.390%
Kelly +0.461%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.45%15.88%15.78%17.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.205.675.756.5019.23%17.62%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.86%4.37cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.500%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.21%22.88%22.90%24.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.984.004.2828.57%25.14%25.00%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +2.54%E +0.390%K +0.461%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:13
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.67%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 14.88%EV -0.935%E -0.149%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.46%EV -12.66%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:50
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.41%E -0.225%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:39
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.41%E -0.225%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -2.20%E -0.354%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 08:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:54
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:54
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:54
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 08:09
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:40
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.83%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.83%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:40
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -11.64%E -8.08%K -26.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.98%E -5.71%K -7.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.08%EV -6.77%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.21%EV -2.14%E -0.500%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:08
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.97%E -0.945%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:55
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:15
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 08:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 08:10
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:39
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 04:50
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:49
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:49
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:49
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:49
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:50
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:49
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:50
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:50
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.39%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:49
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -17.18%E -3.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.54%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -13.12%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -13.12%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:49
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -13.12%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:49
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:34
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:35
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -17.97%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.56%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%3.8%2026-04-11 13:55