StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barnet v Accrington Stanley

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Barnet 2–1 Accrington Stanley

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barnet (Hemma)

Prognos 59.61%1.68rättvist odds
EV -4.63%
Fördel -2.89%
Kelly -7.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.15%59.70%59.73%63.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.521.551.6071.43%65.69%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Borta)

Prognos 17.90%5.59rättvist odds
EV +7.41%
Fördel +1.23%
Kelly +1.48%
Tillväxt +0.110%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.89%17.76%17.89%19.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.805.305.106.0020.83%18.86%19.61%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.49%4.45rättvist odds
EV -2.61%
Fördel -0.604%
Kelly -0.785%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.27%22.54%22.39%24.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.134.204.3326.32%24.22%23.81%23.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Barnet (Hemma): 59.61%; Accrington Stanley (Borta): 17.90%; Oavgjort: 22.49%. För Accrington Stanley (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.59. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.41%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.67%EV -15.95%E -11.31%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -16.55%E -11.82%K -41.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -16.55%E -11.82%K -41.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -8.20%E -5.33%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.54%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.31%EV -5.76%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -3.33%E -0.617%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 09:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -3.33%E -0.617%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 01:19
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -6.91%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 14:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -8.70%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.70%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.51%EV -9.96%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -2.61%E -0.604%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 22:54
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.61%E -0.604%K -0.785%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.61%E -0.604%K -0.785%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 22:54
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:04
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 22:45
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 22:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 14:05
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.20%E -5.33%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:24
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.59%E -7.06%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 01:14
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -12.28%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 21:24
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:51
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-09-09 16:51
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 60.08%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-09 17:40