Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnet v Accrington Stanley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Barnet 2–1 Accrington Stanley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnet (Local)

Prévision 59.61%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.63%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -7.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.15%59.70%59.73%63.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.551.6071.43%65.69%64.52%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.90%5.59cote équitable
EV +7.41%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.89%17.76%17.89%19.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.305.106.0020.83%18.86%19.61%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.49%4.45cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.604%
Kelly -0.785%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.27%22.54%22.39%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.134.204.3326.32%24.22%23.81%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnet (Local) : 59.61% ; Accrington Stanley (Visiteur) : 17.90% ; Match nul : 22.49%. Pour Accrington Stanley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.59. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -15.36%E -10.82%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.67%EV -15.95%E -11.31%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -16.55%E -11.82%K -41.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -16.55%E -11.82%K -41.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV +7.41%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.110%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -8.20%E -5.33%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.54%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.31%EV -5.76%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -3.33%E -0.617%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 09:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -3.33%E -0.617%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 01:19
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.02%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -6.91%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 14:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -8.70%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.70%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.51%EV -9.96%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -2.61%E -0.604%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 22:54
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.61%E -0.604%K -0.785%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.61%E -0.604%K -0.785%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 22:54
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:04
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 22:45
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 22:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 14:05
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.01%E -4.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.20%E -5.33%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:24
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.59%E -7.06%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 01:14
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.49%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -12.28%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 21:24
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:51
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -14.07%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-09-09 16:51
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 60.08%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-09 17:40