Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Accrington Stanley v Cambridge United

Início: 2026-03-07 15:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Previsão 19.63%5.10odd justa
EV -0.494%
Vantagem -0.097%
Kelly -0.121%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.42%19.57%19.72%23.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.534.605.0725.00%22.08%21.74%19.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Previsão 52.89%1.89odd justa
EV -0.574%
Vantagem -0.305%
Kelly -0.653%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.03%52.95%52.79%54.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.781.751.8859.88%56.17%56.98%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.49%3.64odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.290%
Kelly -0.402%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.05%27.48%27.50%28.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.303.6033.33%29.95%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Accrington Stanley (Local): 19.63%; Cambridge United (Visitante): 52.89%; Empate: 27.49%. Para Accrington Stanley (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.10. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.07, com valor esperado de -0.494%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯5.07I 19.72%NM 18.75%EV -0.494%E -0.097%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -2.97%E -0.841%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet🎯5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV -1.47%E -0.294%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:58
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -10.62%E -6.29%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -2.85%E -0.575%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -2.85%E -0.575%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -3.83%E -0.782%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 15:00
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.05%E -0.290%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:59
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:59
BetUS🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.01%EV -8.93%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.23%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.01%EV -8.93%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.23%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:00
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.68%E -6.99%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -17.54%E -5.85%K -8.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%2.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.10%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.6%2026-03-07 15:00