L’École des cotes

Accrington Stanley v Cambridge United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 19.63%5.10cote équitable
EV -0.494%
Avantage -0.097%
Kelly -0.121%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.42%19.57%19.72%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.534.605.0725.00%22.08%21.74%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cambridge United (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.89%1.89cote équitable
EV -0.574%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.03%52.95%52.79%54.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.781.751.8859.88%56.17%56.98%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.49%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.290%
Kelly -0.402%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%27.48%27.50%28.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.303.6033.33%29.95%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.07I 19.72%NM 18.75%EV -0.494%E -0.097%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -2.97%E -0.841%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV -1.47%E -0.294%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:58
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -10.62%E -6.29%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -2.85%E -0.575%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -2.85%E -0.575%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -3.83%E -0.782%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 15:00
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.05%E -0.290%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:59
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:59
BetUS4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
LowVig.ag4.64I 21.55%NM 20.01%EV -8.93%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.23%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
BetOnline.ag4.64I 21.55%NM 20.01%EV -8.93%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.23%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:00
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.68%E -6.99%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -17.54%E -5.85%K -8.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%2.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.10%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.6%2026-03-07 15:00