La escuela de los momios

Accrington Stanley v Cambridge United

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Predicción 19.63%5.10momio equitativo
EV -0.494%
Ventaja -0.097%
Kelly -0.121%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.42%19.57%19.72%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.534.605.0725.00%22.08%21.74%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Predicción 52.89%1.89momio equitativo
EV -0.574%
Ventaja -0.305%
Kelly -0.653%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.03%52.95%52.79%54.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.781.751.8859.88%56.17%56.98%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.49%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.290%
Kelly -0.402%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%27.48%27.50%28.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.303.6033.33%29.95%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle5.07I 19.72%NM 18.75%EV -0.494%E -0.097%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -2.97%E -0.841%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV -1.47%E -0.294%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:58
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -10.62%E -6.29%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -2.85%E -0.575%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -2.85%E -0.575%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -3.83%E -0.782%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 15:00
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.79%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.05%E -0.290%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:59
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -10.09%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:59
BetUS4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
LowVig.ag4.64I 21.55%NM 20.01%EV -8.93%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.23%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
BetOnline.ag4.64I 21.55%NM 20.01%EV -8.93%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.23%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.72%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -9.04%E -5.25%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:00
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -6.92%E -3.93%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.68%E -6.99%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -17.54%E -5.85%K -8.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -0.574%E -0.305%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -21.49%E -5.37%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%2.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.10%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.6%2026-03-07 15:00