Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Accrington Stanley v Barnet

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prediction 23.41%4.27fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.41%23.50%23.44%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.904.2027.78%25.91%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 49.69%2.01fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.76%49.61%49.62%51.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.881.9655.56%52.99%53.19%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.90%3.72fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%26.89%26.95%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 23.41%; Barnet (Visit): 49.69%; Draw: 26.90%. For Accrington Stanley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.68%E -0.400%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -1.68%E -0.400%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.02%E -0.981%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.02%E -0.981%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:30
1xBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.02%E -0.981%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:40
Pinnacle🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.48%EV -4.96%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:40
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:30
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:30
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:30
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -8.58%E -4.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:35
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:40
BetUS🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:40
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -10.56%E -5.87%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:30
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.57%E -5.26%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-24 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 13:14
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:30
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -10.56%E -5.87%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -16.60%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -2.61%E -1.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:35
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.22%4.5%2026-02-24 19:40