La escuela de los momios

Accrington Stanley v Barnet

Inicio: 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Predicción 23.41%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.525%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.41%23.50%23.44%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.863.904.2027.78%25.91%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barnet (Visitante)

Predicción 49.69%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.76%49.61%49.62%51.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.881.9655.56%52.99%53.19%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.90%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%26.89%26.95%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.42%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.68%E -0.400%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -1.68%E -0.400%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:40
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.02%E -0.981%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:30
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.02%E -0.981%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:30
1xBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.02%E -0.981%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:40
Pinnacle4.06I 24.63%NM 23.48%EV -4.96%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:40
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:30
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:30
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:30
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:30
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -8.58%E -4.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:35
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:40
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:40
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -10.56%E -5.87%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:30
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.57%E -5.26%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-24 19:30
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 13:14
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:30
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.07%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 19:20
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -10.56%E -5.87%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -16.60%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -2.61%E -1.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-02-24 19:35
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.22%4.5%2026-02-24 19:40