The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Wycombe Wanderers v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 38.04%2.63fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%37.96%38.08%38.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.442.452.5042.02%41.05%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 35.30%2.83fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.92%35.36%35.26%36.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.612.622.6640.00%38.31%38.17%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%26.68%26.66%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.483.6030.30%28.96%28.74%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 38.04%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 35.30%; Draw: 26.66%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -4.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.51%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.51%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.45%E -2.43%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 17:18
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.43%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 17:15
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.09%EV -6.10%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.21%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.09%EV -6.10%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.21%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:05
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.51%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.51%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.51%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.45%E -2.43%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:14
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:04
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 17:14
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.75%E -4.70%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:43
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 19:09
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.75%E -4.70%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:40