Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wycombe Wanderers v Milton Keynes Dons

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 3–3 Milton Keynes Dons

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Previsão 41.14%2.43odd justa
EV -4.97%
Vantagem -2.15%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.03%41.16%41.06%41.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.262.252.3146.51%44.21%44.44%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Previsão 32.19%3.11odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.20%32.14%32.23%33.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.892.883.0036.36%34.60%34.72%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.67%3.75odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.353%
Kelly -0.483%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.22%26.70%26.71%27.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.453.453.7030.77%29.01%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 41.14%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante): 32.19%; Empate: 26.67%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -1.31%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.48%EV -4.97%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.48%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.04%EV -1.84%E -0.500%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:05
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:05
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.31%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.31%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 15:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 15:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 21:15
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.95%EV -5.79%E -2.53%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.01%E -2.06%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.94%EV -7.17%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.11%EV -6.62%E -2.92%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.17%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:04
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -1.31%E -0.353%K -0.483%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 08:24
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 10:34
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 15:20
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 15:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -8.26%E -3.71%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -8.26%E -3.71%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -8.26%E -3.71%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 16:05
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -8.26%E -3.71%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 16:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.91%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 16:04
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.91%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 16:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:10
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.51%EV -9.91%E -4.52%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-04 13:10
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%3.3%2026-09-04 14:20