Language:English
Wycombe Wanderers v Luton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wycombe Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 44.94%2.23fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%45.14%44.97%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1652.36%49.07%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luton (Visit)
Prediction 27.86%3.59fair odd
EV +3.07%
Edge +0.829%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%27.67%27.82%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.353.7031.25%29.33%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -0.721%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.59%27.18%27.20%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.6533.33%29.36%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 44.94%; Luton (Visit): 27.86%; Draw: 27.20%. For Luton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -11.91%E -6.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -11.91%E -6.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -11.91%E -6.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -13.26%E -6.87%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV +1.68%E +0.459%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -13.26%E -6.87%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV +1.68%E +0.459%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.283%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.08%E -0.578%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -14.16%E -7.41%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV +0.283%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -14.16%E -7.41%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV +0.283%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -0.721%E -0.197%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.42%E -3.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.85%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.43%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.08%E -0.578%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -18.40%E -6.13%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |