La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wycombe Wanderers v Luton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wycombe Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 44.94%2.23momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.42%45.14%44.97%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.052.1652.36%49.07%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luton (Visitante)
Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV +3.07%
Ventaja +0.829%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.13%27.67%27.82%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.413.353.7031.25%29.33%29.85%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.20%3.68momio equitativo
EV -0.721%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.272%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.59%27.18%27.20%29.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.6533.33%29.36%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -11.91%E -6.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -11.91%E -6.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -11.91%E -6.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -12.81%E -6.60%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +3.07%E +0.829%K +1.14%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -13.26%E -6.87%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV +1.68%E +0.459%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -13.26%E -6.87%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV +1.68%E +0.459%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.283%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.08%E -0.578%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -14.16%E -7.41%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV +0.283%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -14.16%E -7.41%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV +0.283%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -0.721%E -0.197%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.42%E -3.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.85%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.43%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.52%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.08%E -0.578%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -18.40%E -6.13%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |