Language:English
Wimbledon v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wimbledon (Local)
Prediction 31.60%3.16fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.973%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%31.70%31.55%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.953.1037.74%34.37%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 40.71%2.46fair odd
EV -0.250%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.173%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.57%40.81%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.302.4546.51%43.08%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.324%
Kelly -0.450%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.72%27.64%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.353.5731.25%30.08%29.85%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 31.60%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 40.71%; Draw: 27.69%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.250%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 18:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -5.14%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -1.16%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.53%EV -4.57%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%EV -5.14%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.53%EV -4.57%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%EV -5.14%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.21%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.35%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.61%E -4.33%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.46%E -5.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -16.26%E -6.14%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -0.250%E -0.102%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.4% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.4% | 2026-09-17 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-17 18:50 |