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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Wimbledon v Milton Keynes Dons

Início: 2026-09-17 19:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 0–0 Milton Keynes Dons

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon (Local)

Previsão 31.60%3.16odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.659%
Kelly -0.973%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.15%31.70%31.55%34.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.912.953.1037.74%34.37%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Previsão 40.71%2.46odd justa
EV -0.250%
Vantagem -0.102%
Kelly -0.173%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%40.57%40.81%42.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.322.302.4546.51%43.08%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.69%3.61odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.324%
Kelly -0.450%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%27.72%27.64%29.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.333.353.5731.25%30.08%29.85%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wimbledon (Local): 31.60%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante): 40.71%; Empate: 27.69%. Para Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.45, com valor esperado de -0.250%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 18:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 18:53
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 18:55
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -5.14%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -1.16%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.53%EV -4.57%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%EV -5.14%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.53%EV -4.57%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%EV -5.14%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 18:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:55
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:45
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:55
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 18:55
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 18:55
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 18:50
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-17 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 18:55
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.21%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.35%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 18:54
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:55
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 18:45
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 18:45
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:50
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.61%E -4.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 18:55
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 18:45
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:10
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:10
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -1.06%E -0.438%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 18:50
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.46%E -5.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 18:10
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -16.26%E -6.14%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -0.250%E -0.102%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-09-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-09-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-09-17 18:55
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-17 18:50