Language:English
Wimbledon v Luton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wimbledon (Local)
Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.572%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%27.26%27.20%29.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.403.7531.75%29.70%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luton (Visit)
Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV -0.154%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.58%46.29%46.57%48.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.002.1552.36%49.35%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.346%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.45%26.23%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.94%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 27.24%; Luton (Visit): 46.44%; Draw: 26.32%. For Wimbledon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV +2.15%E +0.572%K +0.780%G +0.017% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.74%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -1.30%E -0.346%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.94%EV -5.21%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -5.21%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -5.77%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -0.154%E -0.071%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 12:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -6.66%E -3.31%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -21.04%E -7.01%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.46%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.46%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 12:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34% | 2.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |