مدرسة الاحتمالات

Wimbledon v Luton

البداية: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Wimbledon (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.24%3.67السعر العادل
EV +2.15%
الأفضلية +0.572%
Kelly +0.780%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.03%27.26%27.20%29.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.373.403.7531.75%29.70%29.41%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.44%2.15السعر العادل
EV -0.154%
الأفضلية -0.071%
Kelly -0.134%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.58%46.29%46.57%48.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.032.002.1552.36%49.35%50.00%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.32%3.80السعر العادل
EV -1.30%
الأفضلية -0.346%
Kelly -0.472%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.18%26.45%26.23%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.94%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV +2.15%E +0.572%K +0.780%G +0.017%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:44
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.74%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -1.30%E -0.346%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:45
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.94%EV -5.21%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -5.21%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -5.77%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 13:44
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:45
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:44
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:45
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:45
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -0.154%E -0.071%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:44
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.968%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:45
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:45
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -6.66%E -3.31%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -21.04%E -7.01%K -10.52%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.730%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:43
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 12:45
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:44
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.46%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.46%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 12:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%2.6%2026-04-06 13:45