The School of Odds
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Wigan Athletic v Wycombe Wanderers

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Wigan Athletic 0–1 Wycombe Wanderers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.28%38.26%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.412.5043.48%41.45%41.49%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.948%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%34.75%34.71%36.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8040.00%37.28%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.01%3.70fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.690%
Kelly +0.937%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%26.97%27.03%27.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.403.8030.77%29.02%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 38.23%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visit): 34.77%; Draw: 27.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV +2.62%E +0.690%K +0.937%G +0.025%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -8.91%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 00:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.56%E -3.26%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:00
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -8.91%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -8.91%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:45
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.19%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.94%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 12:14
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.55%EV -6.72%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -5.44%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.55%EV -6.72%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -5.44%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:20
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.55%EV -6.72%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -5.44%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:09
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 11:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 10:35
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 11:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -13.08%E -5.23%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 12:40
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.31%EV -7.11%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -7.64%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.31%EV -7.11%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -7.64%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 13:15
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:14
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:14
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:35
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.79%EV -7.87%E -3.27%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.03%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:04
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:05
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:04
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 13:38
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -11.31%E -4.88%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -11.31%E -4.88%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 23:50
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -11.31%E -4.88%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 23:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.91%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-18 14:45
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-18 14:20