Language:English
Wigan Athletic v Wimbledon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wigan Athletic (Local)
Prediction 42.55%2.35fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.52%42.56%43.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.152.2250.00%46.16%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wimbledon (Visit)
Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.34%28.37%28.40%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.4532.26%30.37%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%29.10%29.05%30.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.203.3034.72%31.51%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 42.55%; Wimbledon (Visit): 28.38%; Draw: 29.06%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -2.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.66%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.02%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 15:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.21%EV -8.09%E -3.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 15:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 15:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.94%E -4.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.94%E -4.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.90%E -7.45%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -16.29%E -5.66%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 11:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |