La escuela de los momios

Wigan Athletic v Wimbledon

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Predicción 42.55%2.35momio equitativo
EV -5.53%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -4.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.52%42.56%43.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.152.2250.00%46.16%46.51%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wimbledon (Visitante)

Predicción 28.38%3.52momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.34%28.37%28.40%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.293.303.4532.26%30.37%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.06%3.44momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%29.10%29.05%30.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.203.3034.72%31.51%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.66%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.02%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:30
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:29
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:39
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -5.53%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 15:23
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:04
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 14:04
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:48
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:34
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:49
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:59
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:29
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 02:34
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 12:39
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 21:14
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 21:14
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 21:14
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:55
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.21%EV -8.09%E -3.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 06:09
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:14
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:14
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:14
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:14
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:14
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:14
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:22
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:19
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 15:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:49
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 21:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 12:49
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:44
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:44
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:44
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:45
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.94%E -4.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.94%E -4.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 21:14
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 22:20
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 21:14
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 21:14
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.90%E -7.45%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -16.29%E -5.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 11:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-04-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-04-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%2.7%2026-04-23 23:44
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%3.6%2026-04-24 01:30