Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wigan Athletic v Stockport County FC

Início: 2026-09-05 11:30 UTC

Final: Wigan Athletic 0–4 Stockport County FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Previsão 31.43%3.18odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -0.828%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.60%31.39%31.44%32.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.85%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Previsão 42.09%2.38odd justa
EV -4.87%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -3.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.45%42.05%42.09%42.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.212.202.2646.51%45.33%45.45%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.48%3.78odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.549%
Kelly -0.752%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.27%26.57%26.48%28.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.69%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wigan Athletic (Local): 31.43%; Stockport County FC (Visitante): 42.09%; Empate: 26.48%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.78. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -2.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.57%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.77%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%EV -4.87%E -2.16%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.02%EV -2.56%E -0.696%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 11:45
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 05:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.03%E -0.549%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:40
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:40
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.28%EV -6.56%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.28%EV -6.56%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:24
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 11:33
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 21:00
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.24%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.83%EV -5.72%E -2.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -7.86%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:30
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -6.56%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -8.38%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 21:00
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 20:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 21:00
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 11:35
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 11:30
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:20
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 21:00
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 08:20
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.56%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:35
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.56%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.03%E -0.549%K -0.752%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:30
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 06:10
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 08:45
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:24
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 21:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 21:15
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 21:20
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 08:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 01:55
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -8.66%E -3.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -8.66%E -3.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 11:40
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -8.66%E -3.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -8.66%E -3.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 11:40
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.66%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.45%EV -9.08%E -4.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.66%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.45%EV -9.08%E -4.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 11:40
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 20:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-09-04 12:30
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-09-04 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-09-04 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-09-04 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-09-04 14:20