Language:English
Wigan Athletic v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wigan Athletic (Local)
Prediction 38.70%2.58fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.96%38.73%38.64%40.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.5244.44%41.88%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.892%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%33.90%34.16%35.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8938.46%36.51%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.683%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.02%27.37%27.21%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.383.403.6030.77%29.55%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 38.70%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 34.02%; Draw: 27.28%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.89, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -2.48%E -0.986%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.31%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.48%EV -7.78%E -2.30%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -2.71%E -0.946%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -2.71%E -0.946%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -5.97%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -7.13%E -2.61%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.63%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -7.47%E -2.75%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -1.78%E -0.493%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -5.43%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -6.14%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.47%E -2.75%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -10.22%E -4.41%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -10.22%E -4.41%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -10.22%E -4.41%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.33%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |