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Wigan Athletic v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-09-02 18:45 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prediction 33.35%3.00fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.57%33.34%33.45%34.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.782.802.8838.17%35.99%35.71%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 38.79%2.58fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.00%38.77%38.88%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.19%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.86%3.59fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.89%27.68%29.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.4532.26%30.32%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wigan Athletic (Local): 33.35%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 38.79%; Draw: 27.86%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -3.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -3.97%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.97%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.97%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:55
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -5.63%E -1.99%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.54%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -5.97%E -2.12%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -6.51%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 16:59
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 17:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:50
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.19%EV -8.06%E -3.40%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 17:04
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 17:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -12.64%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 33.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%16.7%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 41.62%1.54I 64.94%NM 29.19%1.54I 64.94%NM 29.19%122.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 41.62%1.54I 64.94%NM 29.19%1.54I 64.94%NM 29.19%122.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 42.54%1.54I 64.94%NM 28.73%1.54I 64.94%NM 28.73%126.0%2026-08-29 17:45