Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Wigan Athletic v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-09-02 18:45 UTC — League 1

Testa a testa

21 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Wigan Athletic (Casa)

Previsione 33.35%3.00quota equa
EV -3.97%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.57%33.34%33.45%34.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.782.802.8838.17%35.99%35.71%34.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.79%2.58quota equa
EV -4.95%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.00%38.77%38.88%40.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.19%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.86%3.59quota equa
EV -3.88%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.92%27.89%27.68%29.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.303.303.4532.26%30.32%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Wigan Athletic (Casa): 33.35%; Milton Keynes Dons (Trasferta): 38.79%; Pareggio: 27.86%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.59. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.45, con un valore atteso del -3.88%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -3.97%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.97%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.97%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:55
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -5.63%E -1.99%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.54%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -5.97%E -2.12%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -6.51%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 16:59
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 17:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:50
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.19%EV -8.06%E -3.40%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 17:04
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 17:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -12.64%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 33.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%16.7%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 42.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 28.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 29.14%120.0%2026-08-29 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 41.78%1.56I 64.10%NM 28.92%1.54I 64.94%NM 29.30%121.6%2026-08-29 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 43.01%1.58I 63.29%NM 28.31%1.56I 64.10%NM 28.68%123.5%2026-08-29 20:00