Language:English
Wigan Athletic v Leyton Orient
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wigan Athletic (Local)
Prediction 41.07%2.43fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%41.11%41.03%43.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3647.62%44.77%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leyton Orient (Visit)
Prediction 29.60%3.38fair odd
EV +0.641%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.267%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.03%29.54%29.58%30.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.41%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.33%3.41fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%29.35%29.39%31.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.203.2535.71%31.72%31.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 41.07%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 29.60%; Draw: 29.33%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.641%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.73%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.641%E +0.189%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.16%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.10%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -7.02%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.47%E -4.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.47%E -4.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.47%E -4.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 12:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -12.94%E -6.10%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -12.94%E -6.10%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.92%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.69%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -4.72%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.35%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -8.19%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -7.65%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 14:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -8.42%E -3.78%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.76%E -6.55%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.87%E -6.38%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |