La escuela de los momios

Wigan Athletic v Leyton Orient

Inicio: 2026-04-02 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Predicción 41.07%2.43momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%41.11%41.03%43.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.252.3647.62%44.77%44.44%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leyton Orient (Visitante)

Predicción 29.60%3.38momio equitativo
EV +0.641%
Ventaja +0.189%
Kelly +0.267%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.03%29.54%29.58%30.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.41%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.33%3.41momio equitativo
EV -4.67%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%29.35%29.39%31.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.203.2535.71%31.72%31.25%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.73%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.641%E +0.189%K +0.267%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.16%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.10%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 18:20
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -7.02%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 18:30
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.47%E -4.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 12:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.47%E -4.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 12:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.47%E -4.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.839%E -0.250%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 12:01
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:40
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:14
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:15
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:15
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:14
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:15
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 18:14
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 18:15
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -12.94%E -6.10%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 18:15
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -12.94%E -6.10%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 18:15
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.92%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.69%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:40
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 18:30
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 18:39
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 18:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 18:19
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -4.72%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -7.35%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -8.19%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -7.65%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 18:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 13:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 14:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 17:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 17:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 18:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 18:39
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 18:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 17:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:34
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:34
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 14:56
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 17:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 18:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-02 18:19
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -8.42%E -3.78%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.07%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.76%E -6.55%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.87%E -6.38%K -9.93%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-02 18:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-02 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%0.9%2026-04-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-02 18:40
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-04-02 18:40
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-04-02 18:40