Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic v Bradford City

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.415%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.84%27.79%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.5632.79%30.54%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 43.00%2.33fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.17%42.94%42.98%44.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.152.2850.00%45.94%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -0.098%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.041%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.33%29.22%29.24%30.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.183.203.4234.72%31.44%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 27.79%; Bradford City (Visit): 43.00%; Draw: 29.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.423. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.420, with an expected value of -0.098%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -1.06%E -0.299%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.24%EV -7.11%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.73%E -0.780%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:25
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.73%EV -8.28%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:24
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:35
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -14.00%E -7.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -15.87%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:10
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:05
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:05
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 13:05
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:24
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -9.12%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:10
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -15.24%E -5.00%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -15.24%E -5.00%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-14 14:55