La escuela de los momios

Wigan Athletic v Bradford City

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.415%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.84%27.79%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.303.5632.79%30.54%30.30%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bradford City (Visitante)

Predicción 43.00%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.17%42.94%42.98%44.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.152.2850.00%45.94%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.098%
Ventaja -0.029%
Kelly -0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.33%29.22%29.24%30.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.183.203.4234.72%31.44%31.25%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -1.06%E -0.299%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.24%EV -7.11%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.73%E -0.780%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:25
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:35
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.73%EV -8.28%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:24
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:35
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -14.00%E -7.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -15.87%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:10
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:05
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:05
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:05
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 13:05
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:24
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -9.12%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:10
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:29
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -15.24%E -5.00%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -15.24%E -5.00%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-14 14:55