Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC v Wimbledon

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prediction 57.86%1.73fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -6.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.23%57.89%57.84%59.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.72%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 18.47%5.41fair odd
EV +3.46%
Edge +0.617%
Kelly +0.751%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.76%18.44%18.54%20.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.105.005.6022.22%19.59%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.67%4.22fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -0.873%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.87%23.67%23.61%25.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.913.954.1129.41%25.61%25.32%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 57.86%; Wimbledon (Visit): 18.47%; Draw: 23.67%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV +3.46%E +0.617%K +0.751%G +0.026%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV +3.46%E +0.617%K +0.751%G +0.026%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV +3.46%E +0.617%K +0.751%G +0.026%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -0.239%E -0.044%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -0.239%E -0.044%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -2.09%E -0.394%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 20:19
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.04%EV -2.46%E -0.465%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.17%EV -2.72%E -0.661%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:18
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.12%EV -4.49%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 16:35
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:32
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 15:30
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 13:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:29
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 16:04
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 13:59
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 20:05
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:05
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 21:32
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 21:34
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.19%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 00:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.00%EV -9.85%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.41%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.00%EV -9.85%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.41%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 16:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 20:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 15:29
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.32%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 15:29
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -16.87%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -16.87%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -19.52%E -5.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-27 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-27 23:50