La escuela de los momios

Stockport County FC v Wimbledon

Inicio: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 57.86%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -6.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.23%57.89%57.84%59.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.72%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wimbledon (Visitante)

Predicción 18.47%5.41momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +0.617%
Kelly +0.751%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.76%18.44%18.54%20.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.105.005.6022.22%19.59%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.67%4.22momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.661%
Kelly -0.873%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.87%23.67%23.61%25.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.913.954.1129.41%25.61%25.32%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV +3.46%E +0.617%K +0.751%G +0.026%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV +3.46%E +0.617%K +0.751%G +0.026%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:24
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV +3.46%E +0.617%K +0.751%G +0.026%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:24
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +1.61%E +0.292%K +0.357%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -0.239%E -0.044%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 15:20
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -0.239%E -0.044%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -2.09%E -0.394%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 20:19
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.04%EV -2.46%E -0.465%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.17%EV -2.72%E -0.661%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 16:35
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 00:45
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 16:35
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -3.01%E -0.573%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:18
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.12%EV -4.49%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 16:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 14:49
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:32
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:34
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 15:30
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 13:59
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 14:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 13:59
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:29
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 16:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 13:59
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.63%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 20:05
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:04
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:05
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 21:32
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 21:34
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.87%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 16:35
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.19%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.48%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 00:44
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.00%EV -9.85%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.41%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.00%EV -9.85%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.41%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 16:05
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 14:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 20:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:30
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.05%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 15:29
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.32%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 15:29
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -16.87%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -16.87%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -19.52%E -5.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-27 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-27 23:50