Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.72
assuming max odds 5.25
assuming max odds 3.97
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 55.77%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 19.03%; Draw: 25.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.968. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.970, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.044%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.02%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.659%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.13%EV +0.044%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.75%EV -7.73%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.72%E -0.441%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.75%EV -7.73%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.72%E -0.441%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -9.09%E -5.58%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -9.09%E -5.58%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.84%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -7.73%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.115%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.82%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.82%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.76%E -6.73%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.76%E -6.73%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.66%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.85%EV -5.63%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.48%EV -7.52%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 10:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.58%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.12%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -10.58%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 10:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -19.36%E -6.05%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.33% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |