La escuela de los momios

Stockport County FC v Wigan Athletic

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 55.77%1.79momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -5.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.58%55.80%55.73%57.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.23%59.88%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wigan Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 19.03%5.26momio equitativo
EV -0.115%
Ventaja -0.022%
Kelly -0.027%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.85%19.04%18.94%20.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.874.905.2522.22%20.54%20.41%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.20%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.044%
Ventaja +0.011%
Kelly +0.015%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.13%25.16%25.32%27.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.713.703.9731.25%26.97%27.03%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.02%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.659%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.13%EV +0.044%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:50
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.75%EV -7.73%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.72%E -0.441%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.75%EV -7.73%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.72%E -0.441%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -2.98%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:50
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 13:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -8.53%E -5.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -9.09%E -5.58%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -9.09%E -5.58%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:34
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.84%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -7.73%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.115%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.82%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.82%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:55
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.76%E -6.73%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.76%E -6.73%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.66%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.85%EV -5.63%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.48%EV -7.52%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 10:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 10:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 10:19
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:54
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.58%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.12%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -10.58%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:55
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 10:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.41%E -4.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 10:20
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.65%E -5.95%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -19.36%E -6.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.33%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-02-21 14:50