Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC v Peterborough United

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prediction 62.04%1.61fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -9.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.81%62.02%62.00%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.12%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peterborough United (Visit)

Prediction 17.63%5.67fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.288%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.36%17.65%17.64%18.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.315.255.7521.05%18.84%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.33%4.92fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.909%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.30%20.34%20.36%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.504.504.7526.67%22.24%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 62.04%; Peterborough United (Visit): 17.63%; Draw: 20.33%. For Peterborough United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.67. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.37%E +0.238%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.37%E +0.238%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.37%E +0.238%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:34
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.53%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.53%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.41%E -0.718%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:33
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 06:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -11.54%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -11.54%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:34
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.80%E -0.890%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 08:39
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.80%E -0.890%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 08:39
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.33%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.69%EV -6.21%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.98%EV -4.22%E -0.897%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:30
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.01%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.63%EV -6.39%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.89%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -4.43%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 06:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 06:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.41%E -0.718%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 06:45
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -4.43%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 06:09
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:39
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -11.54%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:39
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:19
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 06:09
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.25%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 06:36
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.25%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 06:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.60%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -10.09%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.60%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -10.09%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 11:34
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:34
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -3.41%E -0.718%K -0.909%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 19:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:20
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -13.58%E -3.19%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 02:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -23.74%E -6.33%K -8.63%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 06:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 06:44
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.26%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.97%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.61%EV -16.26%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.77%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%3.5%2026-04-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%4.3%2026-04-23 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%4.3%2026-04-23 23:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%4.3%2026-04-23 23:35
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%8.8%2026-04-23 18:30