La escuela de los momios

Stockport County FC v Peterborough United

Inicio: 2026-04-25 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 62.04%1.61momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -3.32%
Kelly -9.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.81%62.02%62.00%62.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.12%66.67%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Peterborough United (Visitante)

Predicción 17.63%5.67momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.238%
Kelly +0.288%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.36%17.65%17.64%18.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.315.255.7521.05%18.84%19.05%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.33%4.92momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -0.909%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.30%20.34%20.36%22.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.504.504.7526.67%22.24%22.22%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.37%E +0.238%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:35
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.37%E +0.238%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:34
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.37%E +0.238%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:34
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:34
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.53%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:35
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.28%E -0.228%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.53%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:34
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.41%E -0.718%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:20
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:10
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:33
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 06:39
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -11.54%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:35
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -11.54%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:34
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.80%E -0.890%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 08:39
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.80%E -0.890%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 08:39
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.33%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.69%EV -6.21%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.98%EV -4.22%E -0.897%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:30
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.01%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.63%EV -6.39%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:24
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:25
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.89%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -4.43%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 06:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 06:08
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.41%E -0.718%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 06:45
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -4.43%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 06:09
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:39
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -11.54%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 19:20
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:39
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:19
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 06:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.25%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 06:36
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 62.25%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 06:15
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 61.60%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -10.09%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 61.60%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -10.09%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 19:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.46%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 11:34
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:34
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -3.41%E -0.718%K -0.909%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 19:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:15
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 20:20
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -13.58%E -3.19%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 02:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -23.74%E -6.33%K -8.63%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 06:30
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 06:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.26%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 60.97%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.61%EV -16.26%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -11.95%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.77%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%3.5%2026-04-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%4.3%2026-04-23 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%4.3%2026-04-23 23:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%4.3%2026-04-23 23:35
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%8.8%2026-04-23 18:30