Language:English
Stockport County FC v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stockport County FC (Local)
Prediction 70.55%1.42fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -3.53%
Kelly -13.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.14%70.68%70.59%72.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3580.00%76.51%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 10.92%9.15fair odd
EV +9.23%
Edge +0.923%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.09%10.86%10.87%12.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.728.7510.0013.33%11.47%11.43%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.53%5.40fair odd
EV +3.59%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +0.782%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 5.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.02%18.47%18.54%19.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.055.005.5921.05%19.82%20.00%17.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 70.55%; Northampton Town (Visit): 10.92%; Draw: 18.53%. For Northampton Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.15. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +9.23%E +0.923%K +1.03%G +0.095% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -11.82%E -9.45%K -47.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +9.23%E +0.923%K +1.03%G +0.095% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -11.82%E -9.45%K -47.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +9.23%E +0.923%K +1.03%G +0.095% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.59%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -8.27%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.59%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -8.27%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +1.92%E +0.350%K +0.427%G +0.008% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.41%EV -10.41%E -8.20%K -38.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.41%EV -10.41%E -8.20%K -38.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.09%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.91I 11.22%NM 10.76%EV -2.67%E -0.300%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.15%EV +3.59%E +0.642%K +0.782%G +0.028% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.52%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV -4.42%E -0.505%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.41%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.62%EV -4.42%E -0.505%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.79%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.82%EV -5.62%E -0.651%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.39%EV -5.86%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -6.06%E -0.704%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.42%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +1.92%E +0.350%K +0.427%G +0.008% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +1.92%E +0.350%K +0.427%G +0.008% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -9.88%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.54%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -9.88%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.54%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -9.88%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -18.07%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.35% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.28% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.98% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |