L’École des cotes

Stockport County FC v Northampton Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prévision 70.55%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.76%
Avantage -3.53%
Kelly -13.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.14%70.68%70.59%72.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.301.3580.00%76.51%76.92%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Northampton Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.92%9.15cote équitable
EV +9.23%
Avantage +0.923%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.095%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.09%10.86%10.87%12.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.728.7510.0013.33%11.47%11.43%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.53%5.40cote équitable
EV +3.59%
Avantage +0.642%
Kelly +0.782%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 5.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.02%18.47%18.54%19.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.055.005.5921.05%19.82%20.00%17.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +9.23%E +0.923%K +1.03%G +0.095%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:40
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -11.82%E -9.45%K -47.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +9.23%E +0.923%K +1.03%G +0.095%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -11.82%E -9.45%K -47.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +9.23%E +0.923%K +1.03%G +0.095%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:40
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:35
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:35
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:35
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +3.77%E +0.397%K +0.444%G +0.017%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:05
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.59%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -8.27%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:20
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.59%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -8.27%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:55
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +1.92%E +0.350%K +0.427%G +0.008%6.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:35
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:35
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:35
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:35
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:35
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -3.64%E -0.699%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.41%EV -10.41%E -8.20%K -38.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.41%EV -10.41%E -8.20%K -38.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.69%E -0.188%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.09%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.91I 11.22%NM 10.76%EV -2.67%E -0.300%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.15%EV +3.59%E +0.642%K +0.782%G +0.028%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.52%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV -4.42%E -0.505%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.41%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.62%EV -4.42%E -0.505%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.79%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 10.82%EV -5.62%E -0.651%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.39%EV -5.86%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -6.06%E -0.704%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.42%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:14
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +1.92%E +0.350%K +0.427%G +0.008%4.6%2026-03-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +1.92%E +0.350%K +0.427%G +0.008%4.6%2026-03-17 18:45
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -4.76%E -3.53%K -13.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:54
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 18:55
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:20
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -9.00%E -6.97%K -31.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -7.15%E -0.841%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:50
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -9.88%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 18:50
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 70.54%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -9.88%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:54
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.54%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -9.88%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:55
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:50
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:04
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:15
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:15
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:20
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:49
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -12.61%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 18:50
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -18.07%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.35%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.28%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%1.2%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.98%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40