Language:English
Stockport County FC v Mansfield Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stockport County FC (Local)
Prediction 61.45%1.63fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -8.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%61.37%61.47%62.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.21%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mansfield Town (Visit)
Prediction 17.04%5.87fair odd
EV -0.683%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.21%17.13%17.00%18.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.415.505.8320.00%18.47%18.18%17.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.52%4.65fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -0.909%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.41%21.51%21.52%23.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.264.254.5026.67%23.48%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 61.45%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 17.04%; Draw: 21.52%. For Mansfield Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.83, with an expected value of -0.683%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.74%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.41%EV -0.683%E -0.117%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.85%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.79%E -2.88%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -16.09%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.05%E -0.356%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.21%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.13%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -2.90%E -0.508%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.84%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.84%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.84%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.51%E -8.00%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -19.32%E -5.15%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |