La escuela de los momios

Stockport County FC v Mansfield Town

Inicio: 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 0–1 Mansfield Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 61.45%1.63momio equitativo
EV -4.75%
Ventaja -3.07%
Kelly -8.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.70%61.37%61.47%62.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.21%66.23%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 17.04%5.87momio equitativo
EV -0.683%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.141%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.21%17.13%17.00%18.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.415.505.8320.00%18.47%18.18%17.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.52%4.65momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -0.707%
Kelly -0.909%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.41%21.51%21.52%23.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.264.254.5026.67%23.48%23.53%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.74%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.41%EV -0.683%E -0.117%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.85%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 18:40
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:40
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:40
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:40
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:15
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:25
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:24
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:24
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:19
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:20
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:40
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:40
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.79%E -2.88%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -16.09%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:25
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:25
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -4.60%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:34
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:35
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.05%E -0.356%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:10
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.21%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:45
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.13%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -2.90%E -0.508%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.84%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.84%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.84%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:25
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:24
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:01
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:19
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 18:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 18:15
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 18:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 18:15
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:20
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -8.01%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.64%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:25
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 17:45
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -6.30%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.51%E -8.00%K -26.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -19.32%E -5.15%K -7.02%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-04-21 18:40