Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.93
assuming max odds 3.96
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 50.11%; Leicester City (Visit): 24.95%; Draw: 24.94%. For Leicester City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.96, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 19:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 19:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 19:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 05:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-08 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-08 02:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -2.68%E -0.687%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.98%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.68%E -0.687%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.41%E -3.21%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.91%E -4.03%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.91%E -4.03%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -4.74%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.61%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -1.18%E -0.298%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -8.80%E -4.84%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.74%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -12.31%E -7.03%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |