Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stockport County FC v Leicester City

Início: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 3–4 Leicester City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Previsão 50.11%2.00odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -3.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.16%50.09%50.10%51.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.861.851.9357.14%53.64%53.91%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leicester City (Visitante)

Previsão 24.95%4.01odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.298%
Kelly -0.399%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.85%24.95%24.95%26.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.673.653.9628.99%27.24%27.40%25.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.94%4.01odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.90%24.96%24.95%26.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.653.703.8528.99%27.37%27.03%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stockport County FC (Local): 50.11%; Leicester City (Visitante): 24.95%; Empate: 24.94%. Para Leicester City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.96, com valor esperado de -1.18%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 19:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 19:40
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 13:55
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -4.79%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 05:03
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:00
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 02:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 02:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -2.68%E -0.687%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.98%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.68%E -0.687%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 14:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:10
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.41%E -3.21%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 17:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.91%E -4.03%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.91%E -4.03%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 15:10
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -4.74%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.61%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -1.18%E -0.298%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 13:54
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -8.80%E -4.84%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.74%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:28
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:29
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -12.31%E -7.03%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 19:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.9%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.9%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.9%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%2.7%2026-09-09 17:21