The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Stockport County FC v Blackpool

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 1–2 Blackpool

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prediction 58.78%1.70fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -6.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.47%58.77%58.80%59.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.571.6364.52%63.30%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Blackpool (Visit)

Prediction 18.07%5.53fair odd
EV -0.617%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.137%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.78%18.04%18.07%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.115.005.5021.05%19.58%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.15%4.32fair odd
EV +0.238%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.071%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.63%23.19%23.14%24.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.973.984.3326.67%25.20%25.16%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 58.78%; Blackpool (Visit): 18.07%; Draw: 23.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.238%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV +0.238%E +0.055%K +0.071%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -3.51%E -0.657%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -2.54%E -0.603%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 10:24
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -0.617%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:28
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -0.617%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:23
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:14
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:19
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.24%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -11.46%E -2.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -11.46%E -2.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:20
BetUS🎯⚠ implausible4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +188.03%E +38.37%K +48.21%G +90.65%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -70.55%E -43.28%K -111.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:27
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.17%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.28%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.28%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -0.617%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 04:59
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 04:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -2.42%E -0.449%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -2.42%E -0.449%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:45
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 12:44
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.71%EV -4.41%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -11.34%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:49
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -12.03%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 07:04
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -11.46%E -2.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-22 13:50