Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stockport County FC v Blackpool

Inicio: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 1–2 Blackpool

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 58.78%1.70momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -6.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.47%58.77%58.80%59.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.581.571.6364.52%63.30%63.69%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Blackpool (Visitante)

Predicción 18.07%5.53momio equitativo
EV -0.617%
Ventaja -0.112%
Kelly -0.137%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.78%18.04%18.07%19.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.115.005.5021.05%19.58%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.15%4.32momio equitativo
EV +0.238%
Ventaja +0.055%
Kelly +0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.63%23.19%23.14%24.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.973.984.3326.67%25.20%25.16%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Stockport County FC (Local): 58.78%; Blackpool (Visitante): 18.07%; Empate: 23.15%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.32. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.238%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV +0.238%E +0.055%K +0.071%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -3.51%E -0.657%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -2.54%E -0.603%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 10:24
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -0.617%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:28
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -0.617%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:23
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:14
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:19
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.24%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -11.46%E -2.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -11.46%E -2.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:20
BetUS🎯⚠ inverosímil4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +188.03%E +38.37%K +48.21%G +90.65%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -70.55%E -43.28%K -111.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:27
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.17%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.28%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.28%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -4.23%E -0.798%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -0.617%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 04:59
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 04:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -2.42%E -0.449%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -2.42%E -0.449%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:45
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.13%E -0.978%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 12:44
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:25
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.71%EV -4.41%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -11.34%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:49
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -12.03%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 07:04
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -11.46%E -2.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-22 13:50