Language:English
Stevenage v Reading
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stevenage (Local)
Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.93%47.49%47.44%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.952.0552.63%50.81%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reading (Visit)
Prediction 22.55%4.43fair odd
EV +3.51%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +0.979%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 4.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.54%22.53%22.56%24.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.004.5926.67%24.61%25.00%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.90%3.34fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%29.98%30.00%31.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2034.48%32.39%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 47.55%; Reading (Visit): 22.55%; Draw: 29.90%. For Reading (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.03%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.94%EV +3.51%E +0.766%K +0.979%G +0.034% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV +1.48%E +0.330%K +0.424%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV +1.48%E +0.330%K +0.424%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -0.771%E -0.175%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -0.771%E -0.175%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -2.35%E -0.543%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -2.35%E -0.543%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.26%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -2.35%E -0.543%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.03%E -0.704%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.51%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.51%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.81%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.74%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -4.83%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:37 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 04:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 08:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 04:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 06:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 04:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 04:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.81%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.81%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 04:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 08:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.93%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.93%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |